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Socioeconomic Modeling

 
     

Purpose:

The primary purpose of the Regional Growth Forecast is to support Travel Demand Modeling which is used in Regional Transportation Planning. H-GAC also uses the forecast for other long range planning purposes.

Coverage:

The Forecast covers eight counties: Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, and Waller

Geographic Scale:

Our forecasting model is built for one-thousand by one-thousand foot grid cells. This gives us the flexibility to deliver the Forecast in various geographic units, such as Regional Analysis Zones, Census Tracts, or other geographies that are meaningful to the users.

Methodology Overview:

The Forecast is developed in two phases. During phase I, we use a trends-based model to forecast total population and employment for each county. During phase II, we use UrbanSim Land Use Forecasting Model to determine the distribution of population and employment within each county.

If the information you are looking for is not here, or if you have a question about the forecast, please send your request to forecast@h-gac.com

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